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Brad Powell avatar
Written by Brad Powell
Updated over a week ago

When Scotty's top pick or our top win % horse is not the betting favorite what percentage of the time does it win?

From 12/01/2019 to 11/30/2020

For Scotty's top pick:

When it is the betting favorite: 40.1% win

When is not the betting favorite: 19.5% win
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For top win percentage:

When it is the betting favorite: 39.8% win

When it is not the betting favorite: 20.6% win

What is the win percentage, ROI, and average payout for horses that are underlays vs overlays?

On races between 12/01/2019 and 11/40/2020
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Underlays:

22.5% win

-17.4% ROI

$7.33 average payout

Equal:

18.6% win

-19.8% ROI

$8.56 average payout

Overlays:

6.4% win

-29.8% ROI

$21.82 average payout

How often do Scotty's Picks and Longshot win?

Scotty Top pick:

Wins 34.5% of the time

Scotty Longshot:

Wins - 14.4% of the time

In the Money - 34% of the time

*Scotty longshot is only -7% ROI after takeout


Out of all the horses that are using Lasix and have had at least one lifetime race, what is the win percentage and ROI for horses that are using Lasix for the first time vs horses that have used Lasix before?

From 12/01/2019 to 11/30/2020

Used Lasix before:

13.1% Win

-25.0% ROI
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First time Lasix:

10.6% win

-31.6% ROI

What percentage of the time does a horse win after being gelded? Must have run at least 1 time.

Win percentage is 12.2%, which is pretty close to random, and roi is -41%

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